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Nostradamus studying the entries for the Triumph? |
The blog post title is my attempt at positive thinking!
Talking of which (thinking that it), my bedtime reading is a stack of Cheltenham Festival guides. This has resulted in my waking thought on morning #1 being Al Ferof, morning #2 was Simonsig and morning #3 an unnamed Donald McCain trained beastie running in a handicap!
Back to the more rational and difficult method of selection by research and study! Is anybody still reading....? Given that the two Doncaster selections on Friday were both winners, this is the course that I'll most likely concentrate on for Saturday.
The last time I looked closely at thje Doncaster card on a Saturday, the top line of my 'sheet' found 4 out of 5 winners on the top line (despite my talking myself out of them in a couple of instances - e.g. shouldn't have stayed, so I'll put these up in the second column as well as my 'considered' choice in the first column (if different) which means I then run through a 'must-have' checklist of several points. Should be interesting!
A terribel day (relatively speaking!) with a minus -7.3. It didn't help that Doncasters later races turned into bumpers with the home straight fences being omitted but even so....must do better!
The last time I looked closely at thje Doncaster card on a Saturday, the top line of my 'sheet' found 4 out of 5 winners on the top line (despite my talking myself out of them in a couple of instances - e.g. shouldn't have stayed, so I'll put these up in the second column as well as my 'considered' choice in the first column (if different) which means I then run through a 'must-have' checklist of several points. Should be interesting!
A terribel day (relatively speaking!) with a minus -7.3. It didn't help that Doncasters later races turned into bumpers with the home straight fences being omitted but even so....must do better!
Lingfield
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First Choice
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E/W or RF
Choice
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1
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13:40
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Blueberry Fizz 2nd
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Super Frank (EW) UP
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Doncaster
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‘Considered’ Choice
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Top Line Choice
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1
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14:20
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Corkage 1st
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Sir Harry Ormesher
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2
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14:55
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Five Star Wilsham
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Five Star Wilsham
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3
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15:25
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Junior 2nd
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Junior
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4
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16:00
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Pittrodie Star
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Amron Lad 2nd
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5
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16:35
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Takeroc 3rd
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Quicuyo
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6
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17:10
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Loden
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Loden
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1/ Sir Harry Ormesher’s ‘no-show’ LTO was
worrying and he ran so badly that it’s enough to put me off. Noel Fehily (on Kangaroo Court) whilst a most
excellent jockey, has never won a hurdles race here in 14 attempts and (can you
believe it?) has never race ridden KC. Corkage has never been unplaced here (4
runs = 2 wins, 1 2nd, 1 3rd) and although tight between
him and KG, he has the better record in class races.
2/ First one that matched both columns!
3/ Ditto
4/ Amron Lad would have a question mark
over this longer trip. I don’t think too
much should be read in to Aland Island’s Triumph entry as you can get 50/1
about him and he also has a few alternative entries leading up to Cheltenham so
obviously connections aren’t convinced he’s good enough (plus Tim Vaughan’s
yard is 0/25 in recent days (cold enough by anyone’s standards)
5/ Neither selection has won off a mark
this high before – the extra weight may be too much for Quicuyo whereas Harry
Derham’s 7lb claim will make a valuable difference
6/ Both columns – just a slight Q over the
galloping course as he had his best results on sharp tracks but I can see no
reason to think he won’t perform here
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