Friday, 2 March 2012

Saturday's Super Spectacular Selections & Results - 03 March

Nostradamus studying the entries for the Triumph?
The blog post title is my attempt at positive thinking!  

Talking of which (thinking that it), my bedtime reading is a stack of Cheltenham Festival guides.  This has resulted in my waking thought on morning #1 being Al Ferof, morning #2 was Simonsig and morning #3 an unnamed  Donald McCain trained beastie running in a handicap!  


Now if these three (well two and a concept!) win then I could be on to something - Nostradamus eat your heart out.  More sensibly, my subconscious has been filing my form study whilst asleep and these names have made it to the front....hmmmm

Back to the more rational and difficult method of selection by research and study!  Is anybody still reading....? Given that the two Doncaster selections on Friday were both winners, this is the course that I'll most likely concentrate on for Saturday.  
The last time I looked closely at thje Doncaster card on a Saturday, the top line of my 'sheet' found 4 out of 5 winners on the top line (despite my talking myself out of them in a couple of instances - e.g. shouldn't have stayed, so I'll put these up in the second column as well as my 'considered' choice in the first column (if different) which means I then run through a 'must-have' checklist of several points.  Should be interesting!


A terribel day (relatively speaking!) with a minus -7.3.  It didn't help that Doncasters later races turned into bumpers with the home straight fences being omitted but even so....must do better!



Lingfield
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
13:40
Blueberry Fizz 2nd
Super Frank (EW) UP


Doncaster
‘Considered’  Choice
Top Line Choice
1
14:20
Corkage 1st
Sir Harry Ormesher UP
2
14:55
Five Star Wilsham UP
Five Star Wilsham UP
3
15:25
Junior 2nd
Junior 2nd
4
16:00
Pittrodie Star UP
Amron Lad  2nd
5
16:35
Takeroc 3rd
Quicuyo UP
6
17:10
Loden UP
Loden UP

1/         Sir Harry Ormesher’s ‘no-show’ LTO was worrying and he ran so badly that it’s enough to put me off.  Noel Fehily (on Kangaroo Court) whilst a most excellent jockey, has never won a hurdles race here in 14 attempts and (can you believe it?) has never race ridden KC. Corkage has never been unplaced here (4 runs = 2 wins, 1 2nd, 1 3rd) and although tight between him and KG, he has the better record in class races.
2/         First one that matched both columns!
3/         Ditto
4/         Amron Lad would have a question mark over this longer trip.  I don’t think too much should be read in to Aland Island’s Triumph entry as you can get 50/1 about him and he also has a few alternative entries leading up to Cheltenham so obviously connections aren’t convinced he’s good enough (plus Tim Vaughan’s yard is 0/25 in recent days (cold enough by anyone’s standards)
5/         Neither selection has won off a mark this high before – the extra weight may be too much for Quicuyo whereas Harry Derham’s 7lb claim will make a valuable difference
6/         Both columns – just a slight Q over the galloping course as he had his best results on sharp tracks but I can see no reason to think he won’t perform here



My nightly nap is an anagram and runs in the 16:35 Doncaster:          RAT COKE!



It's heart warming to see that Lingfield has named their first two races "
Hey, Hey We´re The Monkees Handicap" and the second is the "In Memory Of Davy Jones Selling Stakes"

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