Thursday 11 August 2011

Friday’s Selections, Review & Results (12 August)

A good day yesterday with only one winner from the system selection but at a big enough price to show an overall profit for the day.   White Frost was ridden by William Carson (Willie’s Grandson if you hadn’t worked it out!) who also continued his good week to add his 5th win to his tally for the week – a very good week for William who had only 13 wins all season until this week. 

My review selection and ‘spot’ also both won which was a nice boost. 

Tomorrow’s selections are:

Newcastle
15:20     Beckermet 2nd
16:30     Red Scintilla UP
17:05     Cross Of Lorraine 1st

Catterick
18:20     Koalition 2nd

Kempton
19:15     Jordaura UP
20:50     Benandonner UP

Just the one winner today then and a loss of -1.5 

......and once again there is a place name amongst these selections so here is Beckermet in Cumbria - which looks quite a nice place if you can forgive it being 3 miles from Sellafield!       


And this is the four-legged version winning at Chester under Royston Ffrench:






Newbury 15:10 1m 5f, Class 3 0-90 - 3yo+

This is an intriguing race as I can only see one confirmed front runner and the rest all appear to need (or at least prefer) to be held up .  It looks as though one of the jockeys may have to be brave and try something different – so I’m really looking forward to watching this one!  Some of the runners have a question mark over their ability to stay this far so I think it’s safe to assume none of these ones will break the habit of a lifetime and attempt to go make all.  I have it between three – all with stables in top form at present.

Praxitales has proven stamina and can be forgiven his run at Galway where he was punching way above his weight (and lumbered with more than his fair share of it as well!)  He used to be with Michael Stoute and is a handy hurdler these days (not unexpected given the trainer!) but has won on the flat at Ffos Las last month in a race run similarly to how I expect this to pan out.  Fallon is up and may try to dictate the pace from the front (playing cat and mouse?) but the horse has always come from behind previously.  

Rockfella is the only horse I can see being comfortable making the running but doesn’t look up to taking a race of this nature (he came 3rd over C&D last month in a lower grade).  In my opinion, it would take a spectacular training performance to bring him on enough to win this.

Bullet Man has been off the track since April when he won at Doncaster (after a long layoff) – since when he’s moved from Richard Fahey to Paul Webber.  This is a more competitive race though and that win has put him back up in the weights and it would be over 2 years since he’s won off a mark this high.

Alan Swinbank is bringing just one horse here from North Yorkshire today (252 mile) and that’s Gogeo.  With proven stamina and William Buick booked, I would suggest the owners wouldn’t be forking out that kind of mileage without a pretty high hopes that he’ll be going home a winner.  I’m a little concerned that the distance could be an issue in this particular race so I’m double handed in this one with Gogeo for the win and (in case stamina issues from Gogeo and a canny ride from Fallon enter the equation) each way on Praxitales.

Gogeo                  3/1 win  4th - weakened last furlong
Praxitales            8/1 e/w  9th (of 9!) aka last!  Spectacularly unimpressive performance


Well, Rockfella did make it and apparently it was a spectacular piece of training (and fair play to Eddie Ahern who rode that to perfection)



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