Showing posts with label Kempton. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kempton. Show all posts

Monday, 16 April 2012

Tuesday's Turfless (Flat) Selections & Updates (profits)- 17 April

Kempton is a 'wait until later' selection brief as the forecast tomorrow is for heavy showers as is also Southwell (yes, it's all weather but it can still be slow all weather - a real trudge!).  

My nightly nap is Trans Sonic in the 15:10 at Southwell (2nd)

He's dropping a couple of grades into this class 6 claimer and can cope at Southwell when the fibresand is on the slow side. He is paired up with Daniel Tudhope again who took the ride last time he won very easily by 12 lengths at this same mark and here at Southwell.  His only real competition for the lead should come from Maslak who I'm not totally convinced has the proven stamina to take on Trans Sonic on this surface - certainly my pick is way ahead on speed ratings.  

No winners today (that doesn't happen too often) but still a profit thanks to big priced Lord Grantham coming in 3rd.  Profits of +2.59


Kempton
First Choice
E/W or Forecast Choice
1
14:20
Call Back 2nd
Lord Grantham EW 3rd
2
14:50
Emperor Charlie UP
Haar UP
Notes:
1/         I really cannot see anything else in this line up to trouble Call Back so barring falls, he should win.  Lord Grantham is the most interesting of the newcomers to hurdles and might place.  Henry Daly stable is going well right now and LG had blown the cobwebs away in a bumper in March (pulled too hard to do himself justice). 
2/         Emperor Charlie will like the good ground and has Lucy Alexander’s value claim on top of the super light weight and having won by 19 lengths carrying 10-2 LTO, shouldn’t have too much problem following up.  Haar will also like the good ground (this is all assuming no rain as forecast!) and I’ll forgive his last two outings as these were both on soft.  I think he’ll need to come down in the weights before winning though so e/w only.  


Southwell
First Choice
E/W or Forecast Choice
1
15:10
Trans Sonic 2nd



Exeter
First Choice
E/W or Forecast Choice
1
15:30
Fairoak Lad 3rd




I learned today that AP McCoy, Mick Fitzgerald and Carl Llewellyn are all patrons of the Alder Hey Hospital's charity Imagine.  Every year on the Friday of the Aintree Festival, a contingent of jockeys all visit the Oncology unit to raise awareness for the charity.


Pics from the 2011 visit




The fall out from Saturday's Grand National rumbles on with John McCririck reverting to type and becoming the "industry expert" for the Daily Mail - as you'd expect he hasn't exactly defended the racing industry again (he bit the hand that fed him by selling an interview  to the Express in the immediate aftermath of the new whip rules calling for all 'barbaric' whips to be banned altogether) although on this occasion he has been a little more restrained when talking about Synchronised. 
"Racing must review whether horses should be allowed to take part if they get loose and run free.  For years, along with others, I’ve campaigned for horses to be withdrawn if they unnaturally exert themselves at such a crucial moment. The industry must act to cut down this kind of avoidable risk."
First I've heard of this years old campaign of yours John!


However, the best quote and dose of common sense I've heard during the whole debate was from Paul Nicholls who said:
"There are risks and we all try to minimise them.  A lot of people need to grow up and realise that it is life".  








Tuesday, 10 April 2012

Wednesday's 'Wonders Never Cease' Blog & Updates (profits!) - 11 April

Good news for Kirsty Milczarek who has successfully appealed against her 2 year ban (for passing information for reward and being guilty of conniving or conspiring with anyone involved in fraudulent or corrupt practise in relation to racing) and she can re-apply for her license with immediate effect.  I have to say I'm gob smacked!  


Not because for I believe that:


(a) she was guilty of everything or anything she was accused of


(b)  and even if she had been guilty that the charges warranted a two year ban - given that Charlotte Kerton was found guilty of stopping her horse when blatently and hilariously 'air whipping' her ride then receiving a mere 42 day ban.


(c) the severity of Kirsty's punishment was in any way related to the fact that she is romantically involved with Kieren Fallon ..........who played poker regularly at the White Lion in Newmarket .......with James Crickmore .....one of the pair whom the original case was centred around and who was warned off for 14 years.


No no no, I'm amazed because the BHA have (sort of) admitted that they were wrong.  Now what about those months of lost earnings.....




On the BHA website, there is a fascinating page "why they ran badly" This is a most informative and entertaining section!  For instance, amongst the many "was never travelling" excuses reasons, I have learned that one of my big priced each way fancies on Tuesday, Boris Griegoriev,  was reported to have breathing problems. One can suppose that this will be addressed - hopefully with a wind operation rather than a packet of Tunes - and he may do an awful lot better at a big price in a few weeks.  




Tomorrow is the first day in a long long time which is purely scheduled  flat racing with no jumps in sight.  



Another profitable day with a winning nightly nap.  Profits of + 3.59 


Catterick
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
14:30
Rio Cobolo (EW) UP



 Nottingham
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
16:10
Cool Hand Luke UP

2
17:10
Call To Reason UP



Kempton
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
17:30
Addikt 1st

2
20:00
California English 3rd



Dundalk
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
19:20
Sli Na Fiarana UP

2
19:50
Barrow Island 1st
Rocky’s Pride UP


Barrow Island
Dundalk 19:50
1st


Barrow Island is back down to a winning mark (that bloke Mark again!) , has a decent draw & pilot and will have come on for his last run in March after six months away from the track.  





Wednesday, 28 March 2012

Thursday's Takeaway Selections & Updates (Profits) - 29 March

You have to feel for Richard Hughes in what may well be his last full season as a jockey.  The BHA have upheld the Mickey Mouse 50 day ban handed to him in India for "not riding to instructions" - an offence which isn't even recognised in this country and which still has a month to run. 


It was the (wealthy) owners of the horse who complained to the authorities in India and Hughsie was not allowed legal or official representation at the Indian hearing when the ban was meted out - naturally the owners were represented to the hilt!  I can imagine that British and Irish jocks may think twice about riding in India next winter - the Middle East and Hong Kong must surely be more attractive options for a winter career?




A profit for the blog selections and the nap Caravel absolutely hosed up.  When I tipped him on here Tuesday night, I backed him at 5/2 and am glad I didn't wait as the price shortened to 5/4 SP!  


The alternative trial method selections on the separate page also did very well yesterday with Ludlow working out well and once again Lingfield looks to be a course that this method will work well with (three of the four meetings at Lingfield I've covered have resulted in profits).  I'm keeping tabs and this way I'll be able to select which method is most effective for particular courses/meetings.  The initial idea was to develop a place pot selection method (hasn't come up with one yet!) but if I'd put a Heinz on some of these over the past few days, then I would have turned a tidy profit!


I've added today's (Thursday) now and Limerick and Kempton will be up in a short while.




Well if you're looking for a 2nd at Kempton, apparently I'm your girl!


A profit today (and a tasty forecast at Newcastle) of +2.17 (+13.56%)



Ffos Las
First Choice
E/W or Forecast Choice
1
14:20
Keep Kicking UP
Jayandbee (EW) UP


Newcastle
First Choice
E/W or Forecast Choice
1
15:45
Montoya’s Son 1st
Carrietau (EW) 2nd
Notes:
1/            Carrietau is included as it comes out top of my sheet in both total columns (meaningless to anyone else I know) but with my Newcastle strike rate at 34.78% and 2m 4f class 4 chases being next best to 2m novice class 4 hurdles, it has to be mentioned!!!  Fred Bojangals also looks overpriced.....


 Limerick
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
16:25
Crimson Sunrise UP

2
17:00
Susiescot 3rd

3
19:05
East Of Tara 2nd

4
19:35
Azores UP



Wolves
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
16:40
Next Cry UP

2
18:15
Cabal 1st



Kempton
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
18:55
Perfect Ch’I 2nd

2
19:55
Dartford 2nd

3
20:55
The Bay Bandit 2nd




Nightly nap


Keep Kicking
Ffos Las
14:20

UP

The AW Jockey title race is nearing 'squeaky bum time' (as a certain racehorse owner  with red silks and nose one said) with Luke Morris getting a double on Wednesday.  Just 3 days left!  You can still vote on who you want to win in the top right!

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