Saturday 8 October 2011

Saturday’s Selections & Results – 08 October



 Saturday's Selections are:
                      
                        Newmarket

15:10  Bronterre UP
16:25  Pimpernel 2nd 

York

16:40  Astromagic UP


Guess who owns the 16:40 selection....and it's not Jessie J !!
A loss of -3 today

 


I did back Parish Hall in the Dewhurst each way as well as Bronterre (and stuck a combi tricast with Power &Bronterre) - tweeted it, posted it on RUK forum and tipped on GG.COM competitions so not completely after timed!  


Wolves 18:30 - I am double handed in this and have gone with Lily Wood (ew) as it comes out top row of my spreadsheet and also Circuitous (again ew) as Dalgleish has a fab strike rate here and I like the high draw over 6f (50% win rate despite popular misconception)
Circuitous   13/2 each way UP
Lily Wood    12/1 each way UP


Wolves 19:00 - past observations have flagged up that 2nd string Al Zarooni runners in maidens do well, especially with a good jockey up, a decent draw and a Derby entry!
Captivate      8/1 each way 2nd (now don't be surprised but Fallon didn't make it on time and Fanning took the ride)


It’s all about the Cesarewitch today – 34 horses over 2 miles 2 furlongs is an incredible sight to behold!  History lesson follows:


Cruiskeen
The name of the race comes from Tsesarevich which is the title of the heir to the throne in old Russia and was named for Tsar Alexander II who donated £300 to the jockey club.  
The first running was back in 1839 when it was won by Cruiskeen who also won the Chester Cup.  Last year it was won by Aaim To Prosper.  


No horse has ever won this more than once and in recent years only Willie Carson, Lester Piggott, Gary Carter and Royston Ffrench have ridden the winner on more than one occasion.


Aaim To Prosper
Only 2 favourites have won from the last 10 running and all but 2 have been drawn high (don’t forget that since it’s a right hand course, the stall numberings changed this March so when you look at past runnings and see the winner came from stall 1, this would equate to 34 today!).  The one winner who came from a low draw was given an excellent (and lucky in running) ride by Eddie Ahern for Nicky Henderson who is aboard Veiled today which bodes well.  
All of the past 10 winners had previously won at 2m whether this be flat or jumps.  


I'm going double handed on Veiled and Keys for this - both each way at 14/1 with a small (lively outsider bet - as if they aren't all in this race!) on Cosimo De Medici at 16/1


My darts weren't sharp enough today!  The winner was Never Can Tell ridden by Frankie (who was one of the few who walked the course before racing) and drawn stall 36 (see notes above)


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