Thursday, 8 December 2011

Friday's 16 days Til Xmas Selections & Updates - 09 December

One surprising stat that I came across last night when taking a fleeting glance at the Cheltenham card is that of the Walsh/McCoy % over hurdles.  Ruby has a win rate of 28% (not a surprise) but AP has only a 9% strike rate - that's Ruby winning 3x as many hurdles races as AP. 
Over the chase course it's a little closer with Ruby on 19% and AP on 14%.



It seems really strange looking at today's racing and seeing the first at Southwell to go off at 11:10 - that's barely time to have eaten a KitKat after getting out of bed.....!
if there is an odds on runners selected then in future I'll put an "m" in brackets next to it to denote my suggestion that it is part of a multiple.


Just 3 unplaced from all of these selections!  Profits of +7.04 today


Doncaster
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
12:25
Sprinter Sacre (m)  1st
Lightening Rod (EW) 2nd 
2
13:00
Dark Shadow  2nd 



Southwell
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
12:50
On The Cusp UP (3rd)

2
13:25
The Ice Factor 2nd 



Cheltenham
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
13:45
Fair Along UP

2
14:55
Oscargo 1st

3
15:30
Balding Banker UP



Wolves
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
16:40
Faraway (m)  1st

2
17:10
One Way Or Another 3rd
Orpens Peach (EW) 1st
3
17:40
Dashing Eddie 2nd

4
18:10
Quixote (EW) 2nd

5
18:40
Edgeware Road 2nd

6
19:10
Dark Dune UP



Dundalk
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
18:30
Tarsille 2nd




M         = Multiple
RF        = Reverse Forecast
EW       = Each Way               

Yesterday, a couple of Kempton PlacePot lines were a nice bonus yesterday (all my selections were on my blog at 15:30 for anyone to see.....maybe not such a good idea as if someone actually did read and follow then it would mean less pay outt !  Surprisingly given that two races had no favourite placed, the payout was 'just' £95.50 per £1 line.



In the last race at Kempton on Thursday, I narrowed my selections down to three:




and backed all win and place.....but alas not a tricast which paid £86.10 (if I did that every time, I'd be stoney broke for sure!)....it just happened to be a coincidence that they all have silks the same colour as a certain football team who recently departed the dizzy heights of the Champions League.......






On a non- horseracing note, here's a shameless plug for a friend, James Chadderton who has currently has an exhibition at Incognito Gallery in Manchester's Northern Quarter, has designed an album cover for Peter Hook's (ex New Order) new band The Light and been recently featured on the BBC website.  Talent !

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