Friday 9 September 2011

Saturday's Selections & Updates - 10 September

St Leger day is here and all the talk is for Sea Moon (sea sic below!).  I can't help thinking that  the 7/4 he's drifted to at the time of writing is a bit Jimmy Krankie (on the short side) but then again this horse is pure pure quality the way he won the Voligeur by 8 lengths pulling up!  
He's not been riding his best ever over the past week but Fallon on Brown Panther is surely good value for an each way 12/1?  Dascombe/Owen bringing him in for his St Leger experience is in direct contrast to Ballydoyle and (good as he may be) Joseph O'Brien's lack of it.  Aiden would really love Joseph to win a Gr1 in England before he either (a) grows even taller or (b) gets a year long gift card for Maccy D's -  so you have to think they'll have Seville primed to perfection for this.  Talking about experience, Frankie knows how to win this race - 3 wins in 10 years!  Only trouble is that a filly hasn't won this race since 1992 and this will be Blue Bunting's first outing against the opposite sex.
The ground is drying out so will this go against Sea Moon?  Because he's never raced on anything firmer than good doesn't mean that he won't perform on it.  His sire Beat Hollow had no problems on firm ground but his 3 part brother Brian Boru wasn't too keen - I guess unless the heavens open then we'll find out tomorrow.  I can't imagine that Seville will enjoy any firm in the description - a definite negative for him IMO but a big plus for Brown Panther who's performance  I'm not too worried about LTO when he was beaten by Census as he barely had enough time to recover from a hard run Deutsche Derby on heavy ground.  Census however is a classy horse and the Hannon stable are in fine form right now and as long as he doesn't miss the break this time over this longer trip then he will be up there at the end.  
(I reckon that the way Masked Marvel hung left LTO suggests that the distance will be beyond him)
I can't go against Sea Moon for the St Leger - he has the full package so unless he desperately hates any firm in the going (if it dries out further) it has to be:


1/ Sea Moon 7/4 3rd
2/ Census 5/1 UP
3/ Brown Panther 12/1 2nd


My favourite quote of the day has to come from Mahmood Al Zarooni with this about Blue Bunting "If you see her before her races, then you would say that she would have no chance because of her coat - she looks like a hyena...."



This had to go up today !

System selections today are:

Chester

14:00   Sleepy Blue Ocean (6.2) 3rd



Goodwood
15:25   Al Khaleej (9.8) UP

Doncaster
16:15   The Cheka (3.65) UP

Bath
17:00   Maydream (4.7) 1st 

Kempton
18:25   Queenie’s Star (5.9) 2nd


Off the cold list at last with a winner and a couple of places.  Slight loss of  0.30


Curragh 6f races - 18 of the last 25 winners have been drawn high (72%)
In the only 6f race today at 14:40 the 1st (Born To Sea 5/2) & 2nd (Pearl In The Sand 10/1) both came from a high draw 


This one's for Francesca @riosrider !

Spot the Difference!!

William Buick will be aboard Masked Marvel in the St Leger.  Funnily enough for once I am glad to see that he's not riding Nationalism in the 14:20 Goodwood - he's never won on him and just doesn't seem to get on with this particular horse!


In future, just bet on whichever horse I have picture featured....they almost always win regardless.  Must be subliminal messaging.......


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