Friday, 10 February 2012

Saturday's 'No Newbury' Selections & Updates - 11 February

So what have we on the cards for Saturday then?  Musselburgh looks to be going ahead without an inspection (there will be horses lifting all four feet off the floor at once in the UK!), ditto Naas and then we have Lingfield, Wolves and Kempton who should  all be ok (being 'all weather').  It all amount to not quite Newbury but then we do have Leopardstown on Sunday to look forward to.  


The re-arranged Scottish Triumph Hurdle will run tomorrow at 14:05 (rescheduled from last Sunday) There are just the two runners with (proper) Triumph entries this time around:  Kie and Creekside - no Lyvius of Scoglio.  Now last Sunday I was on Kie whose odds have lengthened even with the absence of Lyvius (who I had down as his major threat) and who was pulled out of an aw bumper mid week to keep him fresh for this.  The ground will have a little more cut this time which will suit even more so (he's won on good/soft previously).   You can just about get an each way price on Kie at the moment so that's me on as I really cannot see him out of the first three at the very least!  PS:  Ignore his last run at Kempton - something (not serious) was amiss. 2nd


I notice that Betfair's featured multiple is Maguire's Musselburgh rides....no Betfair! This only works when he's riding for Elliott (re. my Lucky 15 I put up on this blog a couple of Sundays ago - 24 Jan!) 



Not too bad - a profit at least!  -2.09 profit today 


Musselburgh
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
13:30
Cross Of Honour 1st

2
14:05
Kie 2nd

3
14:35
Everaard 1st
Ostland (EW) UP
4
15:10
Ultimate UP

5
16:50
A Bridge Too Far (EW)

2/             See my Kie notes above
4/             Whenver Brian Ellison books Denis O’Regan, I have a close look- usually means a big run is expected!  The strong pace should set up the race nicely as well


Kempton
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
14:30
Mishrif 2nd

2
16:10
Requisite (EW) UP

3
17:15
Snow Ridge (EW)  UP

Notes:
1/            Short I know but perhaps fodder for a quick double with Tour D’Argent?
2/            Great draw, great trainer and jockey stats here, crying out for this step up to a mile imo.
3/            Didn’t run at all badly LTO after 6m off the track.  5lbs less on his back today and first time blinkers could work the magic.


Lingfield
First Choice
E/W or RF Choice
1
14:45
Santefisio  UP

2
15:20
Nubar Boy 1st




Now before you think you've drifted on to another page and fallen into a pirate copy of "Brassed Off", this is the nightly nap clue!  It was filmed oop north and not a million miles away from where I am now.  The clue is in the name of the song.  Look out for bloke at 1:40 (very funny)



Musselburgh 13:30
Cross Of Honour 1st


A trainer had a filly that was very temperamental. At Kempton she would win a race by several lengths as long as it was an evening meeting but if it was a  daytime meeting, then she would lose every time without fail. The trainer finally stopped racing her during 
 the day when he realised she was a real night mare!


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