Thursday's Selections & Updates including Meydan - 16 February

Time spent just on selections today!!


Are Ya Right Chief was found to be "clinically abnormal" after his race.  I like this phrase very much and will use it where ever possible tomorrow (cat, children, myself etc).  


A pretty lousy day all things considered -18.80 but still leaving the blog picks in profit for the month by +27.58

	Clonmel	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	14:05	Edeymi 1st
2	14:35	Bishopsfurze 1st
3	15:05	Back In Focus NR	Stephanie Kate (EW) 1st
4	15:40	Are Ya Right Chief UP
You may as well back all of Rubys four rides in a Lucky 15 or Yankee!
5	16:40	King Maker (EW) UP

1/            You’ll be looking at short short prices for these first two selections – multiple time!

2/            “ ditto “

3/            “ditto”but if BackIn Focus doesn’t cope with the track here then Stephanie Kate could take advantage

4/            “ditto”

5/            His last outing was the first for 14 months and he didn’t disgrace himself.  Can run into a place or better today.

	Leicester	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	15:00	Galway Jack 2nd	Advertising Space (EW) UP
2	15:35	He’s Our Lad 3rd	Alpha Way (EW) UP
3	16:05	Drom (nap) 3rd

1/           Tom George has only had Advertising Space 3 weeks and he holds an entry to a class 4 chase so is obviously thought well of.  

	Meydan	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	14:30	Man Of Action UP
2	15:05	Nationalism UP
3	15:45	Rerouted 3rd	Captain Obvious UP
4	16:20	Arriete Arrollador UP
5	16:55	Time Prisoner (EW)  UP
6	17:30	Quick Wit  UP	Al Shemali (EW)  3rd

Notes:

1/         Don’t believe any claims a low draw is an advantage over a mile on the tapeta track.  Not true!  Of 47 races, 16 (34.04%) winners came from the middle draw (20% stalls) and 21 (44.68%) came from a high draw (40% stalls). 

2/         9.5f on tapeta are all about the trainers record with 8 of the last 9 races being won by a runner trained by one of the three trainers in the race with the best strike rate here.  In this race they are Oertel, bin Suroor and al Zarooni.  There is no draw advantage of any consequence.

4/         Huge draw bias over 7f tapeta for low to mid stalls with only 27.03% (10 of 37) winning from high.  Prominent runners also have an advantage with hold up horses being disadvantaged.   

5/         Rio De La Plata and Master of Hounds both have an awful lot going for them but there are negatives there too …I’m going each way on Time Prisoner who is very well treated and has the credentials.

	Kempton	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	17:45	Macy Anne UP
2	18:45	Time Square 3rd	Bilidn (EW) UP (4th)

Drom
Leicester 16:05 
3rd

It seems  that Wayne and Coleen Rooney have a name for their 2yo colt who is residing at Manor House with Tom Dascombe and hanging out with team  mate Michael Owens racehorses there.  It's been named Switcherooney (second choice name after Oceans Seven was found to be taken already!)