Tuesday's Lucky Escapes (& Profits) - 27 March

Yesterday was a day of lucky escapes!  Adam Beschizza was very lucky to walk away with nothing more than a bloody nose when his mount Aurens in the Lingfield maiden swerved violently to the right giving him no chance of staying in the saddles and Bob Baffert was rushed to hospital in Dubai during the early hours with a heart attack (no prior history) and is recovering nicely after surgery.

In the first at Hereford tomorrow there runs a horse called Constant Contact which is owned by Delboy & Rodney - what an excellent name for a syndicate/partnership!.....and it won!!

I'll concentrate on Hereford first and foremost as my strike rate here is 42.67% (compared to 32.81% for Market Rasen) If time, I'll study the MR card and add some selections later in the morning....

An excellent day with profits of +13.04 (76.70%)

	Hereford	First Choice	E/W or Forecast Choice
1	14:10	Plenty Pocket UP	Out Of Nothing (EW) UP
2	14:40	Family Three UP	DJ Milan (EW) 1st
3	15:40	Western Kate F	Mrs Peacock 1st
4	16:10	Truckers Benefit 3rd
5	16:40	Scotsbrook Cloud UP

1/         Plenty Pocket should have too much class for this lot but Out Of Nothing should do better this time out with a professional aboard (and Sam TD has as good a record here as any riding in this race).  If he shoots off to the front then he might just be able to stay up there and hang in for a place with such a light weight

2/         DJ Milan fell LTO when in contention but he may need this run to restore confidence

3/         Western Kate is borderline with the penalty and Mrs Peacock will have needed the run LTO.  Both trainer/jockey have a great record here and it would be a surprise if Tim Vaughan (stable now coming back to form) hasn’t been able to bring her on after leaving Norma Twomey.

	Market Rasen	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	14:20	Osgood UP
2	14:50	Presenting Ace UP
3	15:20	Midnight Sail  2nd	O Crotaigh 1st
4	16:20	Knox Overstreet UP

1/         Had the going been softer, then the choice would have been Langley but its not!

2/         The only question mark I have over Presenting Ace is how he’ll handle this track – otherwise he ticks all boxes!

3/         Midnight Sail will enjoy the return to distance and going (won last time current conditions were combined) and course specialist (4 runs here = 3 wins and a 2^nd) O Crotaigh might be able to follow home.

4/         Tekthelot is attractive but recent stable form is not.  Know Overstreet has a penalty but is improving rapidly enough to overcome this (and Channon is starting to turn out some jumps winners lately too!)

	Southwell	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	16:30	Storm Hawk 1st	Admiral Duque UP

Out Of Nothing 

(substitute where for thing and you have a great and relevant tune!!)

Hereford 14:10

84            83

I've put Day 5 of the trial selection system picks on a different page (see the tabs above) to save cluttering up the blog.......if this trial pans out then I'll pop it back on the main posty page!