Thursday, 14 March 2013

Cheltenham Festival Day 3

A briefer blog today!  The Hero to Zero was a warning that some head clearing was required (from too much over-analysing and reading/hearing others Festival opinions I hasten to add - not celebrating Tuesdays winners!).   

The head is cleared and rested (early night, walk in "fresh =bloody cold" air) and I'm ready to pick winners ..... objectively.  Honest!

Peddler's Cross


13:30
Jewson Novices’ Chase
2m4f  Class 1 Grade 2
Last Year’s winner:          Sir Des Champs  (3/1)

Dynaste (like Grands Cru but not as flaky) to win

Win Prediction:      Dynaste  (6/4)  2nd
Each Way Value:    Benefficient (22/1)  1st



14:05       
Pertemps Final
3m  Class 1 Listed
Last Year’s winner:          Cape Tribulation  (14/1)

Sam Winner is the horse I would like to see win (for my daughters accumulator).  I would give Action Master a very good chance at a big price.  He won here on his last visit  at the distance albeit in a slightly lesser race.   

Win Prediction:      Sam Winner           (5/1)  UP
Each Way Value:    Action Master        (28/1) UP




14:40
Ryanair Chase
2m5f  Class 1 Grade 1
Last Year’s winner:          Riverside Theatre  (7/2f)

We’re still waiting to see a winner from Mouse Morris and it could be in this race with First Lieutenant.  For Non Stop looks a decent price now that the ground is drying out.

Win Prediction:      First Lieutenant     (9/4)  2nd
Each Way Value:    For Non Stop          (14/1) 3rd



15:20
World Hurdle
3m  Class 1 Grade 1
Last Year’s winner:          Big Bucks  (5/6f)

Oscar Whisky’s stamina is in question this morning yet  he came 2nd  here over this distance last time out…..beaten by a neck on heavy!  Barry Geraghty isn’t a jockey to lose his head and go for home too early so I’m not convinced of the stamina issue.  Reve Di Sivola beat OW last timebut would need heavy or soft whereas Oscar Whisky isn’t as ground dependant so he edges it for me this time.  Then there’s Peddlers…….a horse who tried chasing last year, didn’t like it so was put away for the rest of the season to rediscover his love of the game and is back today to tackle 3 miles.  If he stays, he could well win and if not, he can still place.

Win Prediction:      Oscar Whisky         (4/1)   UP
Each Way Value:    Peddler’s Cross      (10/1)            UP



16:00
Byrne Group Plate
2m5f  Class 1 Grade 3
Last Year’s winner:          Salut Flo  (9/4f)

Last years winner was a rare favourite in this and bucked the trends somewhat.  While everyone would love to see Hunt Ball win (or in truty, we want to see Anthony Knott get excited again!), he’ll have a job on his hands from top weight.  Following Alan King’s 1-2 in the Coral Cup yesterday, Walkon with his recent grade form is looking good and Bless The Wings with winning jockey Wayne Hutchinson aboard is a tempting each way.  Come on lightening, strike twice!


Win Prediction:      Walkon  (16/1)  5th 
Each Way Value:    Bless The Wings  (33/1)  PU



16:40
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Challenge Cup Handicap Chase
3m1f110y Class 2
Last Year’s winner:          Sunnyhillboy  (13/2f)


Win Prediction (and Each Way value):  Swing Bill (33/1)  UP



17:15
Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase
3m7f  Class 2
Last Year’s winner:          Balthazar King (11/2)

With the delay of this race, I am changing my opinion as the going is now better (on Tues I had Outlaw Pete).  Uncle Junior can handle anything and with the Mullins winner production line at full steam, he looks great value at 11/1. Any Currency comes from a local stable so will have been able to have his familiar creature comforts in the interim (this may sound far fetched but does make some diffence!) and he could grab a place.

Win Prediction:      Uncle Junior          (11/1) PU
Each Way Value(!): Any Currency         (12/1) UP



RIP Matuhi


Well it started off brief!

NB:  Selections on this site will be different to those on sister site SpeedyEquines. This is down to the two different selection techniques used - with these on here being more considered and subjective!  It is best to stick with one or the other - perhaps look at the results on each for the first few races/day then make a choice?  
©

No comments:

Post a Comment