Showing posts with label Estonia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Estonia. Show all posts

Tuesday, 15 November 2011

Wednesday's Selections & Results- 16 November

The pics and videos really do work the oracle for winning selections - Flying Pickets came home in front yesterday - however I'm still resisting the temptation to cover this blog with pics and music videos!

I was having a look at the Betfair Chase line up for this Saturday and noticed a couple of stats from the mere 6 years of its running.  Four of the six winners went off short priced favourite (three odds on) and three winners (Imperial Commander and Kauto Star twice) had won the Cheltenham Gold Cup the same year so Long Run is looking pretty good for this!  Odds on in any chase event isn't appealing to me as anything can happen (filed under Kauto Star 2008) so I'll be looking for the value in an each way bet.........I'd better be looking for another Al Yankovic video.

Sir Henry went along to Buck House to collect his gong yesterday

You have no idea how much I want the number 3 horse in the 15:00 Warwick to be half decent  so I've looked and tried to make a case... of the trainer's last 3 winners 2 were débutantes - how's that?  Noel Fehily rode the trainer's last winner....no?  He'll improve for his recent first run in 11 months.......the owner has some very nice horses and owned a Cheltenham Novice Hurdle winner (Monsignor).  Well it could be worth an each way or place bet!


Warwick 15:00 ?


I realise this is the most tenuous case made for a horse ever so if it wins (???) then I shall on Saturday be filling this blog so full of videos that it'll make your head spin (and will hear "told you" from my daughter once or twice as well I'm sure!)
Unplaced - in his defence, he was hampered and you can't really win a race walking like that!



"Proper" selections up below:


Warwick
First Choice
Danger
1
13:30
Loch Ba 2nd
Jacko’s Boy UP
2
14:00
Majorica King 2nd
Gospel Preacher 3rd
3
15:00
Henok 3rd 
Hindon Road  UP

Notes:
1/            I’m always wary of runners completely new to racing in hurdle (ptp occasionally are a special exception) but Alan King has been very successful this season so far with debutante hurdlers and Gospel Preacher may be worth an investment (Hindon Road is another of his at 15:00). Majorica King would look to be the form pick of those with experience as long as he’s not as worked up before the race this time. This track should suit better than Carlisle and the stable is in fine form currently.
2/            Loch Ba was lucky LTO and has a penalty but may overcome this.  Jacko’s Boy also has penalty but riders (won with him before) claim to help.
3/            Roll The Dice may need this for confidence boosting purposes after falling LTO.  Henok probably needs softer but the experience under his belt should give him the edge over Hindon Road – and you never know, Basil Fawlty as a 3rd choice may snatch a place


Hexham
First Choice
Danger
1
13:40
King’s Grace UP
Pinerolo 2nd
2
14:10
Allbarkanobite UP
Dusky Bob (4.3) 1st


Lingfield
First Choice
Danger
1
13:50
Lightning Spirit NR
Gallantry (5.12) 1st

*  Lightning Spirit is a NR so Gallantry moves up to first choice and Qaraqam as the danger horse


Kempton
First Choice
Danger
1
16:40
Estonia (11.01) 1st
Rocket Rob UP
2
17:10
Replicator UP
Clerical UP
3
19:10
Primeaval (2.72) 1st
Thunderball UP

A good with four winners and thanks to some decent prices, a profit of +6.15





Monday, 17 October 2011

Tuesday's Selections & Results - 18 October (Frankel Doesn't Jump for Polo Mints)

Today there were fourteen races on the flat yesterday with just one winning favourite and the shortest priced winner came in at 7/2 - this means that the bookies winter holiday fund raising campaign is now in full swing!  I've been keeping tabs on and re-familiarising myself with NH racing these past 2-3 weeks so the time has come to make the switch!!  


All four hooves in the air at once is what initially enticed me in to the wonderful world that is horse racing.  Now that the 'proper' NH racing has begun to find it's rhythm I shall now concentrate on this (and the AW) - apart from the odd big turf race and meetings and occasional nugget of gold.


So I shall once more be asking that age old question "Does he run well fresh?" and telling my daughter that the pretty one is Richard Johnson!!




Have you noticed how I have so far bitten my tongue and not mentioned that the BHA delayed their announcement on Monday until 6pm only to announce that they will delay their announcement until Friday?  



Tuesday's Selections are:

Exeter
14:10  Soulard 1st
14:40  Numen 1st
15:10  McCauley 
15:40  Captain Dash NR
16:10  Coach Lane UP
16:40  Spring Moon UP
17:10  Megan’s Motivator 1st

Lingfield
16:00  Silver Turn UP
16:30  Shostakovich 1st
17:00  Stonecrabstomorrow UP
17:30  Estonia UP

Good day so my switch away from the green stuff is the way forward (a bit like garlic bread!).  Profit today of +1.63


Have you ever noticed just how many horses have rhthym rythym rhythym rhythm in their name somewhere.....I have a mindblock with that word and have a dreadful time spelling it - even with a spellchecker!





Swapped a D for a CR and an E for an A - well what's a couple of letters between friends!!..... 


15:40


14:40

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