Saturday 6 August 2011

Saturday's Selections & Reviews (06 August)

Well just one review for the moment as I plough through the Haydock card for tomorrow - having promised a friend some 'guidance' with his investments.  (Note to self:  Add Investment Consultant to CV).  Although Haydock is my fave racecourse for the viewing, the craic & the people watching, my strike rate for flat racing there isn’t the best of all the UK courses by a long shot – in fact it’s pretty dismal but the fact that my two Haydock selections yesterday both won may be a sign of a sea change.  This is the reason that I’m stone cold sober on a Friday evening over-analysing every hoof print that every runner has ever made!

 Haydock 14:45   Rose Of Lancaster Gr3

This will all be about Sajjhaa, one of the two fillies in contention.  She easily has the measure of Myplacelater having beaten her by 2L from a worse draw at York last month but she has only won against her own sex!  The twice that she took on the boys were earlier in her career – she won her introductory maiden and was unplaced the second occasion.    She is an exceptionally gifted filly but I think there is another better contender here in Simon De Montford – a horse that I followed when he was with Andre Fabre and racing classier company than this in Dubai earlier this year.  LTO there was something obviously amiss and he comes here on the back of a 5 month absence but this is of no concern since he runs well (better?) fresh (he won on reappearance both past two seasons).  He is ridden by Mickael Barzalona (wonderkid) who has won with him on no less than 4 of the 5 times they have teamed up previously.
Simon De Montford 4/1
Looked to be travelling quite comfortably and moving up the field when clipped heels or perhaps was bumped and stumbled, depositing Barzalona on the turf.  MB not a happy bunny and threw his toys goggles at the floor.  Bad luck but it happens!


Today's system selections:


Ascot

14:00     Medicean Man (4.3) 2nd

Ayr
20:10     Circus Clown (3.3) 1st

Haydock
15:20     Heavenly Dawn (2.76) 3rd

Lingfield
17:50     Tislaam (3.5) NON RUNNER
18:50     Psychic’s Dream (7) UP

Redcar
13:55     Maria Medecis (7.8) NON RUNNER
14:55     Roninski  (3.3) 1st
15:30     Elusive Sue (5.8) UP

Just two winners today (30%) and a loss (boo) of -1.4

Now I have a confession!!  The 'system' has picked Myplacelater for the 14:45  Haydock.  I should  include it on the list above but (a)  it clashes with my review selection and (b) she's been beaten by Sajjhaa on more than one occasion and there's no reason to think she can reverse the form.  So Myplacelater is a system selection but relegated to a footnote...


I spent quite some time going through the Haydock card last night as a friend is visiting the races for the first time ever and has asked me for some winner winner chicken dinners (gulp!).  This is what I came up with:


Haydock Selections:

13:45     O’Gorman UP
14:15     Naqshabban WD & Burj Naher (in case Naq RRs) UP
14:45     Simon De Montford UR
15:20     Heavenly Dawn  3rd  & Golden Delicious (ew) UP
15:55     Cruise Tothelimit NON RUNNER & Green Park UP
16:30     Mirza 1st
17:00     Mount Hollow UP
17:35     Norman Orpen UP



I hope at least a couple come in  (don't you just hate it when the pressure's on?)


No comments:

Post a Comment