Monday, 21 November 2011

Tuesday's Selections & Results - 22 November

Record breaking Nicky Henderson won every one of the seven races he had entries in yesterday and even though five of them were at odds on prices, a £1 accumulator would have yielded £70 (give or take pennies) return.  Nice to hear that one punter had one £100 accumulator with all seven as well as a second £100 acc without Whoops A Daisy.  Somehow I don't think his runners will be priced too high today!
Would you look at the prices of those two 2nd places?  They are ones that got away.  Betfair SPs had Dodgey Dream at 9.98 for the place, Short Supply 7.28 and Il Battista 2.29 so although the win stakes show a loss of -4.41, in reality the placed horses were backed each way (by moi!) and a profit made.  I'll have to figure a more realistic way of totting up now that I'm selecting a 'danger horse' as well as the primary choice - perhaps a win and a place bet where you can get the place bet at 3s or more.



Lingfield
First Choice
Danger
1
12:50
Bessie Lou UP (4th)
Heather Royal UR
Notes:
1/             Bessie Lou coming from Ireland where she contested a much better race LTO, owner by trainers wife and McCoy booked so big show must be expected.


Sedgefield
First Choice
Danger
1
13:30
Front Of House  UP
Dodgey Dream 2nd (50.44)
2
14:00
Countrywide Flame 1st (1.51)
Janet’s Pearl UP (3rd)
3
15:30
Sydney Cove UP
Short Supply 2nd (30)
1/             Countryside Flame will go off at odds on but don’t put off by the fact he has a 10lb claimer aboard.  Dean Pratt has a 4 from 7 win rate when riding for John Quinn.Notes:


Southwell
First Choice
Danger
1
12:10
Il Battista 3rd
Rowan Spirit UP 
2
15:10
Brockfield (6.08) 1st
Daaweitza UP
Notes:
1/             The lack of front runners means that Daaweitza may not get the pace that he needs and Brockfield could get things all his own way – only negative is the lack of previous fibresand form but he’s performed well on soft going before which suggests he’ll handle it fine.If another takes on Brockfield for the lead then Daaweitza can benefit.

Theres no stopping the Emma Lavelle bandwagon at the moment - 9 winners from 27 runners in the past fortnight.  She runs two at Lingfield today - Elegant Touch (12:50) 1st and Juhd (15:20) 1st


The news that Fallon was yesterday fined £3140 for misleading a steward at Chester last May during a 10 second 'informal conversation' makes no sense to me!  He attended a formal hearing about this lateness (he missed 2 rides) and his explanation given at the official interview was accepted and found not to be misleading.  Months later, this 10 second informal exchange was again resurrected and the implication has been hinted at in the press that Fallon was deliberately late to avoid testing positive for an alcohol test.......


Update:  It has now been announced that Fallon was late because he popped in to a police station to take a voluntary breath test to ensure that he wouldn't have been over the limit for riding (he wasn't driving) as he didn't want to risk a riding ban.  He was late because when he came out of the station, his driver and car had been moved on by a traffic warden.  This was announced by his solicitor in advance on the BHAs disciplinary panel's reasons going public.  So he avoided the ban (Franny got 40 days!) but got a large fine instead.  Moral of the story must be that the BHA are not going to let you get one over on them...unless you're a QC ........and trainer .........who sometimes does some work for them......hmmm




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