Yesterday they held one of those bookies’ testimonial evenings – a variety show with favourites trailing in last having unseated their riders on the way to post, or sitting motionless in the stalls (the horses not jockeys) or managing to get stuck behind a wall of runners (this can take supreme effort and skill in fields of just 6 so you can never accuse anyone of not trying!). Cynical? Me? Never.......................!! Friday’s Five System Selections are:
Sandown
14:40 Pose UP
York
15:40 Requinto UP
16:50 Shesastar 1st
16:50 La Zamora UP
Yes, two in the same race and they’re both David Barron runners (this is total coincidence & not system related!) – Shesastar has the most negligible of edges
Salisbury
20:05 Man Of God
Good day for the system - only one winner but it turned a profit of +5
You’ll notice that 2yo Requinto is up there as the system pick for the Nunthorpe. With the withdrawal of Sole Power and Bapak Chinta this leaves Hoof It (currently my daughter’s favourite horse??) the strong favourite. However, the last time the favourite won in the Nunthorpe was 2003. More recently than that a 2yo won in 2007 (Kingsgate Native) and an Irish trainer won last year with Sole Power who was the 100/1 shock winner (which seems like yesterday) belonging to a certain Paddy’s mum, Mrs Power.
You’ll notice that 2yo Requinto is up there as the system pick for the Nunthorpe. With the withdrawal of Sole Power and Bapak Chinta this leaves Hoof It (currently my daughter’s favourite horse??) the strong favourite. However, the last time the favourite won in the Nunthorpe was 2003. More recently than that a 2yo won in 2007 (Kingsgate Native) and an Irish trainer won last year with Sole Power who was the 100/1 shock winner (which seems like yesterday) belonging to a certain Paddy’s mum, Mrs Power.
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| Zamora in Spain |
Surprising how many horses are named after places...when there's a horse running named Kim Kardashian, Megan Fox or Rihanna - things will be different I promise!
York
14:00 RACING UK ON SKY BET MOBILE STAKES (HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-100)
Looking past at the past 9 runnings, there has been a disproportionate number of winners from the middle draw – draw 11 being especially prominent. Trooping The Colour has the honour this year!
I like Lady Chapparal for this – she’ll love the ground and will be up to the front, finishing strongly. It’s a jump up in class but (forget the 14f York run) she’s been progressing nicely since she joined George Moore in April. Talking of the trainer, he’s had 3 wins from 7 wins this past fortnight so all good!
Lady Chapparal 10/1 UP (but Trooping The Colour with that lucky draw was placed at 20/1)
14:30 GIMCRACK STAKES (GROUP 2) (COLTS & GELDINGS) (CLASS 1) (2yo)
I admit I haven’t spent much time looking at this so not many £££s going down here! Justineo looks a decent sort - Haggas has an excellent 25% strike rate with 2yo here and as a Montjeu colt he should have no problems with softer going. Has a decent draw so as good a chance as any! (and I had a dream about a ‘green horse’ last night!!!) #joking
Justineo 6/1
15:05 SKY BET MOBILE STRENSALL STAKES (GROUP 3) (CLASS 1) 1m208y (3yo+)
I'm very tempted to back Green Destiny here - I dreamt about a green horse last night but I'm not some silly superstitious female so this is no reason at all! I don't like his draw and to be honest Fallon hasn't been having the best of weeks so far. GD does have the stamina for the 9f and form on the going but it's debateable whether he has the speed!! I'll take the safe (?) option and back Dux Scholar who has progressed well, is drawn well and should take this on only his 3rd run of the season.
Dux Scolar 3/1 UP (with a saver on Green Destiny 1st in case I'm psychic!) A new career beckons –move over Mystic Meg& I’ll have all of your horseys too!
15:40 COOLMORE NUNTHORPE STAKES (GROUP 1) (CLASS 1) (2yo+) 5f
I'm sticking with the system selection Requinto for this. Hoof It is a great horse but this may be a step too far (and too soon) in my opinion! David Wachman is not going to bring over just 1 horse for the Ebor festival if he doesn't think that it has an excellent chance of winning. It's not unheard of for a 2yo to win this (see Kingsgate Native 2007) or an Irish raider to do the same (last year anyone?). Requinto receives heaps of weight for his age allowance and although a big step up in class against the big boys, I think he'll prevail!
Requinto 6/1
16:15 MAIDEN STAKES (CLASS 2) (2yo) 7f
I'm not a fan of maidens (s anyone?) You can look at trainer records, sales prices, entries, gallop reports, jockey bookings and breeding until you’re exhausted but the this means nothing until they’re raced .. and even then there may be an unraced wild card spoil the party. A few of the runners here have Derby entries and the two I like most are Thomas Chippendale and Athens – both high profile owners, Derby entrants and racing debutants. Apparently there’s a buzz on course for Thomas Chippendale so if pushed, I’ll go with this one!
Thomas Chippendale 5/1
16:50 E B F PAUL MALONE HALF CENTURY STAKES (FILLIES´ HANDICAP) (CLASS 2) (3yo+ 0-100) 7f
I have two system selections in this that I put up last night, La Zamora and Shesastar (see above) so I’m on these. Satisfyingly they’ve both shortened nicely over the morning. I should point out that when Navajo Chief won at 25/1 yesterday, my other half was delighted as he (not a betting or form man) likes to pick horses with Cowboy & Indian names! So if Sioux Rising wins this race, I may have to adopt a different approach to picking winners......
La Zamora 7/1
Shesastar 9/1
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