Tuesday 13 September 2011

Wednesday’s Selections & Updates – 14 September


Despite watering on Tuesday morning and then showers and a heavy heavy downpour at around 2pm, Yarmouth did no more that revise the initial description slightly from good to firm to good (good to soft in places).  After the first race, three jockeys declared (1) “soft”, (2) “they’re getting into it” and (3)“in half an hour the ground will be on the easy side”.  It stayed good (good to soft in places).  Coupled with the strong side wind, it’s a miracle that any punter was able to call a winner there at all.  I sometimes wonder if the Clerk of some Courses just sends his (or her) dog outside then has a quick look to see if its paws are wet on its return.   "Wet paws Fido?  Must be soft then!"  If so, then the Yarmouth CofC dog must be very well trained and wipes it’s feet on it's way back in!


Martin Dwyer rode a four timer at Ffos Las on Sunday and then a treble at Kempton on Monday.  This appears to have gone pretty much unnoticed and Martin tweeted yesterday (Tues) that RP had barely mentioned it either – all they were about was Fallon’s single win!  To be honest I thought it was all about football in today's RP but still, you have to feel for the guy after such an achievement warrant's barely a mention in the press.  He had another win today so that's 8 in 3 days!   

This vid interview from Love The Races last October is great fun - I love some of his answers!




System selections for Wednesday are:

Beverley
14:35   Forevers Girl (12) UP
15:45   Greyfriars Drummer (16.5) Wrong Johnston horse!  Bells O Peover won - a former blog selection!

Yarmouth
17:00   Top Diktat (4.5) 3rd 

Kempton
20:10   Desert Icon (4.6) 3rd
20:40   Secret Edge (4) 3rd but UP


A bout of thirditis today and down -5


There’s another race tomorrow called the Kieren Fallon Writes For The Weekender at Kempton 20:10.  If he’s lucky then the race’s namesake might actually get to ride in this one (last time his ride was a non runner)!  He's aboard Steelcut for David Evans but this isn't my system selection (see above!) Steelcut finished unplaced 



Sandown 14:20 September Nursery 5f, Class 5 2yo



5f races around Sandown have a very marked draw bias towards those drawn low.  At this stage of the year, most 2yos have had enough runs that this will make a difference (i.e. they aren’t running green zig zags along this straight track!). 
Roy’s Legacy is chasing a hat trick from a low draw and travelling 158 miles in pursuit of it.  Robbie Fitzpatrick who won both times on him is still aboard but so is a 6lb penalty.  His previous two wins were at Kempton and this is a very different challenge.  My feeling is the extra weight, turf and stiff track could combine to deny him but he won is such style LTO (improving considerably from his first win) that it would be foolish to discount a bold bid.
Worth is another who’s only win has been at Kempton although he has placed on turf.  Partnered by Martin Dwyer who rode him for that win, he put on a poor show LTO at Warwick (albeit from a lousy middle draw).
Dark Ages is yet another runner who is ridden by the only jockey to have ever won on him (Adam Kirby) but the stables current form is enough for me to put a line through him (13 runners / 0 wins)
Invincible Dream has the help of a decent jockey in Kieren Fallon and also the plum rail draw.  He ran a dreadful race LTO but did have to cover a few extra yards when his jockey took him to the outside and he then faded quickly about a furlong out - so the drop to 5f (albeit a stiff 5f) might be a good move.  Again, the stable isn’t exactly firing right now and he looks as though he is as high in the weights as he wants to be.
HOWEVER, the other three mentioned are likely to vie for the lead and being drawn close together, may set this up for Invincible Dream to pick up the spoils (or at least place) at a big price if Fallon can get the fractions spot on.
Roy’s Legacy             win UP Something went badly wrong here - too bad to be true
Invincible Dream       each way Badly hampered (as were quite a few) leaving the stalls - no chance but watch out nto!



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