Tuesday's Selections & Results - 27 December

Want a close look at my teeth
Mr Dentist jockey man? Hah!

I reckon there was more than one grown man with a tear in his eye at around 15:16 on Monday.......Kauto Star winning his record breaking 5th King George chase was joyous to behold and would have moved even Chuck Norris to tears.   He'll be paraded at The Manor House Inn in Ditcheat at 12.30pm Tuesday........ he spends so much time parading outside that pub that they ought to name a beer after him.  


Sadly in the same race, Master Minded suffered a tendon injury after striking into himself in the same race which is serious enough to put his racing career in some doubt.  Fingers crossed that he'll be able to make a full recovery.







There's a race at Kempton today (13:25)  with three horses in!  Often a race with a field this size can incredibly boring with the result a foregone conclusion but Peddler's Cross v. Sprinter Sacre (sorry Harry Hunt!) is a bit of a mouth waterer.......it'll be like chess in equine format.  

I won't hear of any outcome other than PC winning though!

Some nasty results today!  Sous Les Cieux, Peddlers (sob!) and Red Jade all kept the bookies happy.  

	Wetherby	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	12:35	Red Jade 3rd	Saga De Tercey (EW) NR
2	13:40	Mica Mika 1st
3	14:20	Stagecoach Pearl UP
4	14:55	Majala PU

	Kempton	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	12:55	Kie  UP
2	13:25	Peddler’s Cross  UP (2nd)
3	15:45	Dineur  UP

Notes:

1/            I’m not convinced the Ranjaan will like this track!  Kie has a penalty but the manner in which he won his penultimate outing would indicate this shouldn’t be too much of a problem.

	Southwell	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	13:15	Desert Icon UP (2nd)

	Chepstow	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	13:30	Plein Pouvoir UP
2	14:45	Secret Edge 3rd	School For Scandal UP

Notes:

1/            I’m not convinced the Ranjaan will like this track!  Kie has a penalty but the manner in which he won his penultimate outing would indicate this shouldn’t be too much of a problem.

3/            Lifestyle would be the form pick but I think the penalty will do for him. Dineur has got off quite lightly for his win LTO (be great to see Christian Williams ride a winner after his terrible injury as well!)

	Leopardstown	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	13:55	Sous Les Cieux UP

-9.93 today

15:05 - PaddyPower Chase - I can't decide between Becauseicouldntsee, Aigle D'Or or Sona Sasta so since PaddyPower are paying the first five places, I'll each way all three!

Wetherby 12:35

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The 8 Days Til Xmas Saturday Selections & Results- 17 December

Well my quandary over whether I should forget that it's the last Saturday before Christmas and avoid shopping, crowds, headaches and hassle and instead head off along the M60/M56/M6 combo to Haydock and watch Peddler's Cross was resolved when he was withdrawn due to the ground.  Blah!


To console myself, I've just booked the hotel for the 12-18 March somewhere near Cheltenham ......let the countdown begin!

I have the feeling that if horses could talk then the 14:30 Ascot would go something along the lines of:
"Going right handed today are we?"
"You want me to go past these now, yes?"
"Job done so can I have noms and little sleepy rest now please?"


Silly I know but I'm really looking forward to watching this afternoon.

I had a great day yesterday with best ever profits for the blog and am hoping it can be repeated today........

	Ascot	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	12:55	Foxbridge UP
2	13:25	Politeo UP	Lancetto (EW) UP
3	13:55	Giorgio Quercus 2nd
4	14:30	Big Bucks 1st	Sparky May (rf) UP
5	15:05	The Minack 1st
6	15:35	Viva Colonia (EW)	Act Of Kalanisi (EW)

Notes:

2/             Lancetto is the better horse but the ground is against him IMO

3/             Was never travelling after clouting the 4^th fence from home on his last outing – that was his first attempt at the trip and I don’t think it was the distance that beat him.  Won FTO twice in past.

5/             The Minack has always had his wins in doubles, one after the other….he won LTO but PU before that!

6/             I’ve chosen a couple of live each way hopes for this as the market leaders are far too short a price for such a race.  Prospect Wells looks to have a favourites chance though and Brampour price has gone.

	Newcastle	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	13:35	Prosecco 2nd

	Lingfield	First Choice	E/W or RF Choice
1	14:55	True To Form UP

Alas, not repeating the same form as yesterday with -7.47

13:35 Newcastle

 (such a down-to-earth girl - even drinks her bubbly from a can!)

2nd 

Saturday Hennessy Day Selections & Results - 26 November

Cue Card got mugged yesterday (but then he was giving 7lb to Bob's Worth), Ranjaan was comprehensively beaten by Urbain Di Sivola (Hugh Tayl or tipped this up) and most definitely needed the experience, Mono Man hit the last flight and that did for him ....and my list of "next time outs" is growing ever longer!  
Paul Hanagan had four rides at Wolves after a well deserved 3 weeks holiday ....and won on three of them - including a 16/1 shot, demonstrating why he became champ for the 2nd year.

I have made progress with my Xmas wishlist (The RP calendar being at the top if you recall)......someone with very neat girlie handwriting has added "subtle like a wrecking ball" to the bottom.....so at least I know it's been read.  The only problem is that everyone else in the house thinks it's a great idea to have a list on the fridge and now my list is struggling for white frontage space.


Edwina Currie turned on our towns Christmas Lights last night (Friday) - apparently there was a teenage FaceBook plot to egg her.....I've had to explain to my two teenagers what the egg connotation was about which sort of leads to the impression that no other teenagers won't know either!




Hennessy Gold Cup


In big races, before looking through each horses form I like to take a quick look at previous winners and see if I can glean any useful stats from this.   

1. Eight of the past ten winners have been aged 6 or 7 which clears half the field
2. Look for a top trainer - smaller stables don't have such a good record
3. The biggest priced winners in the last 10 years has been 25/1 (Pipe trained Madison Du Berlais in 2008)
4. This either wants to be the first outing of the season (since March or April) or the 2nd run following a seasonal debut within 28 days (28 Oct)
5. Only three of the past ten winners haven't won either here or at Cheltenham before (i.e. they're solid good jumpers!)
6. Just three SP favourites have won in the past 10 years

........stats alone would narrow it the field down to Aiteen Thirtythree (11th), Wayward Prince (PU), Great Endeavour (4th) & Billie Magern (PU) (if he shortens in price).  I'll pick my 'proper' final form pick in the morning (see below)....but I'm erring towards Aiteen Thirtythree

1833 was a good year for (1) abolishing slavery and (2) the factory act which laid down the law re. working hours and child labour

Peddlers Cross will win the first at Bangor today - he is my favourite horse so the result is not up for discussion!  It would take Godzilla wearing a tutu and speaking Klingon, descending from a blue cloud with a giant robotic claw to pluck him from the racecourse to stop him winning (only my opinion of course!) 1st of course!

7 races and 5 winners - some were short enough but I combined a few (quite a few!) and made some decent returns today.  On level win only stakes however it returns -1.34.

	Newbury	First Choice	Danger
1	14:05	Titan De Sarti UP	Rumble Of Thunder UP
2	14:35	Big Bucks 1st	Sparky May UP
3	15:10	Aiteen Thirtythree UP	Great Endeavour 4th

Notes:

1/             With question marks over Empire Levant (turned out very soon) and Rock On Ruby & Dream Function  (both better over  further?)I’m going with these two (RofT would be first choice if not for stable not hitting form yet)  

2/             A buying money race (same notes apply to Big Bucks as to Peddlers Cross above!)  – looking for the runner up is the only challenge and I’ll take the chance that Sparky may will settle better – after all Kieran Burke knows the horse as well any anyone!

3/             Only worry with Aiteen Thirtythree is that all wins have been in smaller fields but with Ruby aboard to help, this really isn’t much of a worry at all and is proven over this distance.  Great Endeavour should stay, his fail at Aintree over this distance could be put down to the run coming only 3 weeks after falling the prev outing.

	Newcastle	First Choice	Danger
1	14:20	Celestial Halo UP	Overturn 1st
2	15:30	Hey Big Spender 1st	Categorical PU

Notes:

1/         Binocular has looks disenchanted with racing the past couple of outings, this is more Celestial Halo’s distance than Overturns

	Bangor	First Choice	Danger
1	14:25	Peckhamecho (nap) 1st	Zahirah Moon UP

	Towcester	First Choice	Danger
1	14:45	Valid Point 1st	C’Monthehammers UP

A very good day for a few multiples!