I am intending on early Sunday morningness to absorb today's results at Longchamp, attempt to arrive at an accurate going description (any where between good to firm and soft depending on who you listen to), update my draw bias and work out some winner!
PS: There's some value place odds up for the Arc right now on Betfair......
White Rabbits!! The start of a lucky new month.
It was certainly a lucky end to the month yesterday for
me when I covered all the low drawn horses that I thought had half a chance in
the last race, 5 in total, at Dundalk (1m
4f low drawn winners = 72.73% for future reference!) on and the longest price
of all these ridden by Joseph O’Brien won at 49/1 (Betfair). Celebrations are however NOT the reason the
blog is late today – that’s just boring home stuff getting in the way.
In honour of all things French and ‘Longchamp-like’ I
have added a video song by French Chanteuse Patricia Kaas which is just the
sort of music you want to be listening to in a French bar on a hot October
weekend. This way, those of us not lucky
enough to be in Paris this Arc weekend can pretend:
Today’s ‘dirty dozen’ system selections are:
Redcar
14:50 Jo’Burg 2nd
15:25 Colonial UP
Ascot
15:50 Smarty
Socks 2nd
16:25 Astrophysical
Jet UP
17:00 Dubai
Queen UP
Newmarket
17:20 Blanche
Dubawi 1st
Wolverhampton
18:20 Courtland
King UP
18:50 Benandonner UP
19:20 Everymanforhimself UP (a Ryan family project this one!)
19:50 Bloodsweatandtears UP (note that Fallon is 3/6 when riding
for William Knight who in turn has a 30% strike rate here)
20:20 Carcinetto WD
20:50 One Of
Twins 2nd
I make no apologies for so many Fallon/Wolves selections as they all fit the system criteria. He has a great book of rides at Wolves tonight where he does well - most with trainers who do also do extremely well there. Expect a 'push' today for the champions title - make or break time with a total of 12 rides today......
With that I am away to plot the downfall of les fabricants des libres........au revoir x
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